|Election Day in Philadelphia by John Lewis Krimmel 1815|
First, Intrade: with a 72% chance for a Obama win, and 303 electoral votes for Obama and 235 for Romney (270 electoral votes are necessary for the Presidency.)
Then, Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight blog with a 91% chance for a Obama win, and 314.6 electoral votes for Obama and 223.4 for Romney.
Last but not least a snapshot of three National polls (Politico/George Washington University 47%-47%; Monmouth University 48%-48%; and Rasmussen 49% (R) - 48% (O))
Granted those numbers are not all comparable, as in the end the electoral vote determines the Presidency, but in a previous post I already mentioned that Intrade and Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight had a very successful trackrecord. Let's see if today's elections proves them right..